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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-08-10T21:20Z

Model Inputs:
2024-08-10T03:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-5.0, Lat.=19.0, Speed=630.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2024-08-10T08:10Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-08-12T21:49Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 22.3 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=5
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=7

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-13T05:58Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-12T02:45Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-12T22:28Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240810_081000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
This CME may also impact BepiColombo at 2024-08-11T06:07Z.

Submitted on 2024-08-10T21:24Z by Mary Aronne

A Notification with ID 20240811-AL-003 was sent on 2024-08-11T15:10Z


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